New question: How likely is it for a player to have 100 experience? What is the average experience for QBs?
The way the formula currently works a player has a negative applied to their shown accuracy as soon as their accuracy attribute equals their experience. The question is how great that negative is. For instance, if we cap experience at 80, a 100 shown accuracy QB has an adjusted accuracy of 96. But if we cap experience at 66, a 100 shown accuracy QB has an adjusted accuracy of 93.2. That's a big difference.
EDIT: I've been thinking about this more. And I really would like to know how big the penalties are for having a defender in the QBs face and the penalty for distance.
I'm pretty confident how that first parameter will work. So let's start there.
QB has 100 Accuracy and a ceiling of 80 play knowledge. (This knowledge is probably generous since its nearly impossible to gain experience with defensive plays and very slowly with offensive plays, but we'll be generous and assume that the QB was pregerated with 100 knowledge in the play he's running, so 80 is a good ceiling.) With this setup the QB has an adjusted accuracy of 96.
For ease sake, let's assume that the QB has 100 Scramble or is not moving so that we can ignore the second parameter in the accuracy calculation.
Now we get to the wildcards player in the face and distance.
If the player in the face is a 20 point penalty that would mean on most plays a non-moving QB with 100 listed accuracy has an adjusted accuracy of 76 before distance penalties are applied.
Now, let's add back in the penalty while moving and assume that the QB is moving because QBs are often moving because of pass blocking code. Before we assumed a scramble of 100, but that's not common, so let's assume a scramble of 60. If the scramble is up to a 20 point penalty, let's guess that the QBs scramble negates 60% of that penalty. That would mean our QB with a listed accuracy of 100 would have an adjusted accuracy of 68 while moving and a player in the face before applying distance penalties.
Does that sound about right? Or are these penalties even worse than that?
I'm beginning to see why good QBs barely 50% passing for a season.
Last edited at 10/22/2016 8:53 am