Cjfred68 wrote:
I don't wanna be that guy but.....
Washington #1 ????
Nothing against the team or Crazyrazor but he is a wildcard and got swept by Baltimore in division.
I dont know maybe it's just me....I know you use a formula but seems it's missing something there
There are a few things missing, mainly special teams, strength of schedule and actual wins and losses. Keep in mind I do these with pen and paper so I'm trying to keep it simple but still relevant. True that Washington was swept by Baltimore, but the Stars are #3 in the rankings so it's not like they got swept by Pittsburgh or Charlotte who are much lower.
One flaw I see in my rankings is it favors blowout wins, which is probably why Washington is #1. The Federals scored the most points in the league while giving up the 3rd fewest. However, if you take out penalty yards and turnover ratio, Baltimore and Washington are tied for 2nd with 30 points each. Memphis would be #1 with 22 points and Houston 4th with 41 points.
When I first set this up in my head, I was thinking analytics and that's probably the best use of my rankings. Since points and yards per play are so important in my rankings, you could say Washington didn't live up to their potential as the numbers suggest they should be the best team in the league.
I also have non playoff teams ranked 9th, and 2 tied for 11th. New Orleans can be easily explained as the VooDoo were ranked low during Shavar's tenure, then shot up once Smirt took over. Michigan and (NY) Stars would have been ranked even higher (7th and 8th respectively) if penalties/turnovers weren't a factor.
The main thing I wanted to do with posting these is get people talking and it worked. There is only 1 ranking that really matters, and that's how we all rank after the World Bowl, when the Champion will be the real #1, despite what my rankings say (unless of course Washington wins it all).