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Playoff Races

By raidergreg69 - League Admin
8/22/2023 6:27 am
12 games in, 4 to go so it's time to think about which teams will get playoff invitations and which teams will be watching from their computers/phones/tablets.

American Conference

Clinched Division: Michigan

Clinched Playoff Spot: Memphis

In the Hunt: San Jose, Portland, Oklahoma, Houston, Honolulu, Cleveland, Arizona, Southern California, Los Angeles, Chicago
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National Conference

Clinched Division: Pittsburgh

Clinched Playoff Spot: Birmingham, New Orleans

In the Hunt: Philadelphia, Orlando, New Jersey, New York, Jacksonville, Baltimore, Washington, Shreveport, Georgia
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Michigan, Memphis, and Oklahoma are all 10-2, fighting for the #1 seed. Michigan likely will be no worse than #2 seed, definitely no worse than #4 as a division champion. One of Memphis/Oklahoma will be a wildcard as is usual in the Southwest division. Seems like every year 2 of Memphis/Oklahoma/Houston, and sometimes all 3 end up fighting for the #1 and #5 seeds.

I thought about typing out remaining schedules but there are too many teams still in contention with 4 games each to play so instead, I'll put on my Swami hat.

Predictions

#1 Memphis 14-2
#2 Michigan 12-4
#3 San Jose 11-5
#4 Portland 9-7
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#5 Oklahoma 14-2
#6 Houston 11-5
#7 Honolulu 9-7*

*wins tiebreaker over Cleveland thanks to their 21-7 Week 1 win

#1 Pittsburgh 16-0
#2 Birmingham 14-2
#3 Philadelphia 14-2
#4 Orlando 12-4

________________
#5 New Orleans 13-3
#6 New Jersey 12-4
#7 New York 11-5

Re: Playoff Races

By raidergreg69 - League Admin
8/24/2023 9:04 am
American Conference

Clinched Division: Michigan

Clinched Playoff Spot: Memphis, Oklahoma

In the Hunt: San Jose, Portland, Houston, Honolulu, Cleveland, Southern California, Los Angeles, Arizona
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National Conference

Clinched Division: Pittsburgh, Orlando

Clinched Playoff Spot: Birmingham, New Orleans, Philadelphia

In the Hunt: New Jersey, New York, Jacksonville, Baltimore
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I'll just comment for now, perhaps I'll do remaining schedules tonight after I wake up, kinda tired right now.

In the National Conference we have 4 teams fighting for 2 spots and 2 divisions technically up for grabs. Philadelphia just needs 1 win or 1 New Jersey loss to clinch the East title.

Things are setting up for a Week 16 first round bye showdown. Birmingham could end up anywhere from #1, #2, or #5 seed. If they win out, they'll be #1 seed. If they lose a game, they could end up tied with New Orleans and idk rn which way the tiebreaker would go.

New Orleans could technically be the #1 seed but that would require Pittsburgh to lose their last 3 games and I don't see that happening.

Orlando can rest some players as they seem likely to be the #4 seed, hosting either Birmingham or New Orleans.

New Jersey needs a win and a Jacksonville loss to clinch a spot. The Generals and Bulls meet Week 16 in what could be a pre playoff playoff game.

New York is the current #7 seed and need to just keep winning.

Jacksonville and Baltimore need wins and help.
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Memphis and Oklahoma continue to battle it out for the division crown, with the winner likely the #1 seed.

Whichever team does not win the Southwest will be the #5 seed and travel to the winner of either the Pacific or the West.

Michigan could sneak in as the #1 but they can't be tied with Oklahoma as a head to head loss has them lose a tiebreaker with them.

San Jose and Portland play tonight, with the winner getting the inside track on the #3 seed and avoiding Memphis or Oklahoma in the first round.

Avoiding them to likely face the defending champs. Houston looks locked into the #6 seed and will travel to the #3 seed if the standings hold for the Gamblers.

Honolulu is the current #7 seed thanks to a win over Cleveland.

Portland needs a win or an Arizona loss to claim the West.

Cleveland, Southern California, Los Angeles, and Arizona need wins and help
Last edited at 8/24/2023 9:09 am

Re: Playoff Races

By raidergreg69 - League Admin
8/25/2023 1:31 pm
Week 14 is in the books and the playoff picture is clearing up.

American Conference

Division Winners: Michigan, Portland

Clinched playoff spot: Memphis, Oklahoma, Houston

In the Hunt: San Jose, Honolulu, Cleveland, Arizona

I'll start with the standings glitch, as MFN says Arizona is eliminated when they aren't. The Wranglers need to win their last 2 and have BOTH Honolulu and Cleveland lose their last 2. If all those things happen, Arizona would be 8-7-1 while Honolulu and Cleveland would be 8-8.

The Southwest gets 3 teams in and Memphis currently has a 1 game lead on Oklahoma for the division.

Michigan and Portland are division winners and the Panthers still have a shot at the BYE.

San Jose and Honolulu are tied atop the Pacific, with the non division winner fighting with Cleveland for the final wildcard.

Remaining Schedules

San Jose: vs Pitt (14-0), vs Det (2-12)
Honolulu: vs Balt (6-8), vs LA (6-8)

Portland: vs OKL (11-3), @ ARI (6-7-1)
Arizona: vs NJ (10-4), vs Port (9-5)

Memphis: @ SA (3-11), @ ORL (11-3)
Oklahoma: @ Port (9-5), vs SA (3-11)
Houston: @ Oak (4-9-1), @ Den (2-12)

Michigan: @ GA (4-10), vs NO (12-2)
Cleveland: @ Birm (13-1), vs CHI (4-10)
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National Conference:

Division Winners: Pittsburgh, Philadelphia, Orlando

Clinched Playoff Spot: Birmingham, New Orleans, New Jersey

In the hunt: New York, Jacksonville

Baltimore is 6-8 and can finish 8-8 but their conference record isn't good enough to win any tiebreakers with New York or Jacksonville so they are in fact eliminated.

Pittsburgh is 14-0 but could still lose home field if Birmingham wins their last 2 games, which would include a Pittsburgh loss to the Stallions.

Birmingham could end up as the #1 seed, #2 seed, or #5 seed as New Orleans is hot on their heels should they slip up.

New York has the upper hand in the fight for the #7 seed as they have a 1 game lead plus a win over the Bulls, meaning Jacksonville needs to win their last 2 while New York loses their last 2. The Stars win any tiebreaker.

Orlando, Philadelphia, and New Jersey don't have much incentive these last 2 weeks other than to manage health for the tournament.

Remaining Schedules

Jacksonville: vs TB (3-11), @ NJ (10-4)
New York: @ SHR (4-10), vs Bos (1-13)

Pittsburgh: @ SJ (8-6), @ Birm (13-1)
Birmingham: vs CLE (8-6), vs Pitt (14-0)
New Orleans: @ Phil (12-2), @ Mich (11-3)

Orlando: @ Fla (3-11), vs Mem (12-2)
Philadelphia: vs NO (12-2), @ Oak (4-9-1)
New Jersey: @ Ari (6-7-1), vs Jax (7-7)