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Main - League News/General Discussion

Playoff Scenarios for Week 16

By raidergreg69 - League Admin
2/06/2023 2:53 am
American Conference

Division Winners: Houston, Portland, San Jose, Detroit

Wildcards: Oklahoma, Memphis

In The Hunt: Honolulu, Chicago
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National Conference

Division Winners: Philadelphia, Pittsburgh, Orlando, New Orleans

Wildcard: Birmingham

MFN Says Wildcard, I Say Not So Fast: Washington

In The Hunt: New Jersey, Shreveport, Boston

Pretty sure the standings glitch is here again in the National Conference as I can't confirm that Washington is in. There could be a 3 way tie at 9-7 for the final 2 spots, and in that scenario Washington would be eliminated I think based on conference record if New Jersey is in the mix.

First we have to resolve the possible New Jersey/Boston tie at 9-7. We split and New Jersey will have the better division record so the Generals would be ahead of the Breakers.

If Shreveport, Washington, and New Jersey all end up 9-7, the first tiebreaker is head to head sweep/swept by the other teams and the Generals played neither so on to step 3.

In the NFL, conference records are next and for all 3 to be 9-7, New Jersey would be 8-4 in conference, Shreveport 7-5, and Washington 6-6.

Of course New Jersey could always lose to the #1 seed Philadelphia, making the 3 way tiebreaker moot. That wouldn't necessarily eliminate the Generals, as losses by Shreveport and Boston would create a 3 way tie for the last spot that New Jersey should win based on conference record.

As far as the #1 seed in the American Conference, I admittedly have no clue. Houston is listed as #1 for now, but that's likely because they're 10-2 conference record is half a game better than the 9-2 marks of Portland and San Jose. If they all win in Week 16, they'll all have 10-2 conference records, and the next tiebreaker is either common games or strength of victory.

The following are the scenarios that I know at the moment...
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Honolulu needs to win and they're in, while Chicago needs a win and a Honolulu loss.

Washington needs a win or a New Jersey loss to get in.

New Jersey is in with a win. Lose, and they're still in if both Shreveport and Boston lose.

Shreveport needs a win and a New Jersey loss to get in.

Boston needs a win and losses by New Jersey and Shreveport to get in.

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Re: Playoff Scenarios for Week 16

By Cjfred68
2/06/2023 5:49 pm
I was hoping you knew the answer for who gets the bye.

Houston, Portland & San Jose can all finish 13-3 and have 10-2 Conference records.

Portland beat SanJose but Houston beat Portand and Houston vs San Jose didn't happen.

The 3 teams don't share 4 common games so most likely it goes to total points

Portland +296
Houston +234
San Jose +122

So, if all 3 win then I'm pretty sure Portalnd gets the bye.

If one of the 3 teams lose, it gets easier.

Houston loses....Portland in
San Jose loses....Houston in
Portland loses....Houston in

If 2 teams lose then obviously whichever team wins gets the bye.

If all 3 teams lose then Houston gets in based on Conference Record.

PORTLAND
Win plus San Jose win get bye

HOUSTON
Win plus Portland or San Jose lose get bye
Lose plus Portland and San Jose lose

SAN JOSE
Win plus both Portland & Houston lose get bye.

Re: Playoff Scenarios for Week 16

By Smirt211
2/07/2023 1:40 pm
There's my motivation: pu**y a$$ 1-bye.

The worst would be here, XFL or PFL - 1 loss and get sniped to the #2 seed and then SURPRISE!!! Wild Card opponent = CJ.

....and then 3 more after that.

Ok, I'm fired up now. :)


Re: Playoff Scenarios for Week 16

By Smirt211
2/07/2023 2:20 pm
Insanity, 2pac f. DMX, mixed by DJ Mimo is how the 1-bye makes me feel. Get the jaw tight.

Here's what you do. You can have the 1-bye system in the majority of leagues, however....

the engine keeps track of a legitimate GM ranking system and when a league crosses the threshold it flips to the 2 bye structure.

No one needs to win a AG, Hammond and Smirt division (PFL) to get the #2 seed and no bye while a JOBBER the Hut (lol) chills on Sugar Hill in a weak division - gets the #1 seed and the bye.