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I'm just going to type as I figure out this mess, usually things are more set in stone after 14 games. At first glance it seems the standings glitch is in play, a few teams show as eliminated when they're 2 games out with 2 to play. Los Angeles, Cleveland, Florida, and Boston are the teams I need to look at tiebreakers closely to see if they are still alive.
Each conference has 4 teams already in the playoffs, so congratulations to Portland, Oklahoma, Memphis, and Houston from the American Conference and to New Orleans, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia and New Jersey from the National Conference. Division winners are Portland, New Orleans, and Pittsburgh with the other 5 teams are guaranteed at least a wildcard.
In the Pacific Division, Honolulu and San Jose are tied with 8-6 records and they play each other Week 16. I think Los Angeles can still make it if they win their last 2 and other things break their way but I could be wrong.
Portland has won the West and have the inside track for the BYE. Arizona is 7-7 and will likely make the playoffs if they upset Portland tonight. Even with a loss, Week 16 gives them winless New York so 8-8 looks like a real possibility.
The Southwest will send 3 teams to the tournament, and they all have a chance at winning the division. Oklahoma has the toughest schedule among them.
The Midwest sees Chicago and Detroit tied at 6-8 with Michigan right behind at 5-9. Cleveland shows as eliminated and that's probably right as they'd have to win their last 2 against Chicago and Detroit, have those teams also lose their other game to finish 6-10 while also having Michigan fare no better than 1-1 these last 2 games...just to get into a tiebreaker.
Re: Playoff Picture
by
raidergreg69
@
11/29/2022 6:08 pm
Remaining Schedules
Honolulu (8-6): vs Pitt (12-2) @ SJ (8-6) San Jose (8-6): vs LA (6-8) vs Hon (8-6) Los Angeles (6-8): @ SJ (8-6) vs Char (8-6)
Portland (13-1): @ Ari (7-7) @ Okl (12-1-1) Arizona (7-7): vs Port (13-1) @ NY (0-14)
Oklahoma (12-1-1): @ Mich (5-9) vs Port (13-1) Memphis (11-2-1): vs SA (4-10) @ TB (6-8) Houston (11-3): @ Fla (5-9) vs Jax (6-8)
Chicago (6-8): @ Cle (4-10) vs Oak (3-11) Detroit (6-8): @ Den (3-11) vs Cle (4-10) Michigan (5-9): vs Okl (12-1-1) @ Den (3-11) Cleveland (4-10): vs Chi (6-8) @ Det (6-8)
Re: Playoff Picture
by
raidergreg69
@
11/29/2022 6:15 pm
The Southeast also has all 4 teams within 2 games, so we'll look at all their schedules. Orlando leads at 7-7 with Jacksonville and Tampa Bay right behind at 6-8. Florida shows as eliminated at 5-9, and that's probably true as they'd have to win twice while Orlando loses twice and Jax/TB go no better than 1-1 just to get into a tiebreaker.
New Orleans briefly lost the #1 seed when they suffered their only loss but New Jersey gave it back. The VooDoo are your South winner but Shreveport and Birmingham, both 8-6, are in a wildcard battle with Charlotte for 2 spots.
Pittsburgh will win the Atlantic with Charlotte in the thick of the wildcard race.
Philadelphia and New Jersey will make the playoffs and the division likely comes down to their Week 16 game against each other. Boston is 6-8, just 2 games out of a spot but that 3-7 conference record likely means the eliminated symbol is correct.
Re: Playoff Picture
by
raidergreg69
@
11/29/2022 6:36 pm
Remaining Schedules
Orlando (7-7): vs Jax (6-8) @ Pitt (12-2) Jacksonville (6-8): @ Orl (7-7) @ Hou (11-3) Tampa Bay (6-8): @ Wash (4-10) vs Mem (11-2-1) Florida (5-9): vs Hou (11-3) vs Wash (4-10)
New Orleans (13-1): vs GA (5-9) vs Shr (8-6) Shreveport (8-6): @ Birm (8-6) @ NO (13-1) Birmingham (8-6): vs Shr (8-6) vs Balt (3-11)
Pittsburgh (12-2): @ Hon (8-6) vs Orl (7-7) Charlotte (8-6): vs SC (1-13) @ LA (6-8)
Philadelphia (12-2): @ Bos (6-8) vs NJ (12-2) New Jersey (12-2): @ Oak (3-11) @ Phil (12-2) Boston (6-8): vs Phil (12-2) vs GA (5-9)
Re: Playoff Picture
by
ArmoredGiraffe
@
11/30/2022 6:48 am
I'm having deja Vu from D&D. I'm playing Warthog for the 1 seed again
And we just played for the championship in GFL lol good luck Warthog!
Hmm, I think Rialto catches me if we tie up. He's got a lay-up, I got drama.
****. ...schedule...
Re: Playoff Picture
by
raidergreg69
@
11/30/2022 2:22 pm
It does look like Smirt needs to win to get in. Same with Slick's Honolulu team. The loser of this game is likely out so long as Arizona takes care of business against an 0-15 team.
I disagree that New Orleans has #1 seed wrapped up. Idk about a 3 way tie but on the longshot that both New Orleans and Pittsburgh lose while my Generals win, New Orleans and New Jersey would be tied at 14-2 and we won head to head.
Just looked it up, a 3 way tiebreaker would eliminate Pittsburgh first, then my head to head win comes into play. Of course this actually happening is like a 10% probability at best. Same applies if NO/Pitt lose and Philadelphia beats me, though idk who wins a deep tiebreaker between NO/PHI.
Orlando has won the Southeast, as they swept the division and win any tiebreaker.
It's still possible for a 4 way tie at 6-10 in the Midwest, I'm doubting I even try to figure that out. Hopefully somebody wins so at least they're 7-9.
Midwest Division: Chicago or Detroit ____________________________________________________________________________
The winner of Honolulu/San Jose wins the Pacific. San Jose can get in with a loss and an Arizona loss while a loss eliminates Honolulu regardless of Arizona as the Wranglers beat them head to head.
Oklahoma has a better division record than Memphis so they win the division.
The winner of Portland/Oklahoma will have the #1 seed.
Memphis and Houston are locked in as wildcards.
Arizona is in with a win, and also in with a loss and a San Jose win.
It looks like Chicago is in with a win since MFN lists them ahead of Detroit. That means Detroit needs a win and Chicago loss. If they both lose, I have no clue about 3 or 4 way tiebreakers.
