I have been in favor of analytics in football for the most part, and a couple years ago when Mike Tomlin used to go for 2 a lot, I read an article stating the case teams should always go for 2. The theory is, with the XP moved back the success rate was around 93% so you only need to be successful on 47% of 2 point tries to be better than that.
I was curious to test this theory with all the 2 point talk around here, so I am with this team
https://fantasy-league.myfootballnow.com/team/11. I'm not doing a 1 play exploit either, I have 14 plays available. Four games in and we're 6 for 9 so we've gained 3 points going for 2 even if my kicker would have been perfect otherwise.
In addition to that, if I score first and get 2, it's 8-0 and my opponent already has to score twice. If I miss and only lead 6-0, no biggie as my defense has only given up 13 total points. I'm gonna keep doing it as long as it's working.