Smirt211 wrote:
Offense is going to need more layers/levels now to match the defensive improvement and to provide ways to strat around the system and not be resigned to 5-10 yard carve outs, slow methodical marches both on the ground and through the air.
0.4.5 should address most of the lack of downfield throws. I say most because it's not going to ever be the wild west days of 0.4.3 again or 0.4.2 for that matter.
But, and I ask this in all seriousness, how much actual professional football do you watch? The reason that I'm confused is that the slow, methodical march using short-to-intermediate passes is how professional football is played. Sure, there are highlight reel 40-60 yard bombs by someone every week, but these are rare over the course of a game.
For instance, 2018 was a banner year for passers with two QBs over 5,000 yards and another one over 4,900. Yet, if you look into those yards, they were achieved mostly by volume passing.
Here's a quick stat break down of the top 5 QBs by yards thrown.
QB - Yards - Avg Attempted Air Yard Distance - Avg Completed Air Yard Distance - Longest in the Air
Roethlisberg - 5130 - 7.7 - 4.8 - 52.9
Mahomes - 5097 -
9.2 - 6.4 - 60.7
Ryan - 4924 - 8.5 - 6.5 - 54.9
Goff - 4688 - 8.8 -
7 - 62.7
Luck - 4593 - 7.6 - 6.1 - 51.7
Here's where stats need to be broken down more. You'd think that someone like Mahomes is throwing 9 yard distance routes every down, but that's not how averages work. The truth is that Mahomes throws a lot of <5 yard routes and then he uncorks a 40-60 yard bomb. Everyone sees the 40-60 yard bomb, and forgets that he's thrown 10-15 passes before that were < 5 yard routes.
You have to take into account the one big play a game issue when looking at the average air yards completed too for the same reason.
All that said, I perfectly agree that we need more plays. But, more importantly, all coaches should have access to all of the plays so that we could build better customized playbooks. I want that more than more plays.
Although, I would rather spend my time creating plays than alpha / beta testing.
Link for reference:
https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/stats/passing#yards
Last edited at 1/06/2019 10:00 am